How much customer concentration is too much?
There is no fixed percentage that makes customer concentration automatically disqualifying, but a single customer or a small handful accounting for a large share of revenue changes how a lender, valuator and buyer all price the business, because losing that one relationship threatens a disproportionate share of future earnings.
Buyers ask this question expecting a specific percentage, and the honest answer is that no single number determines whether concentration is a problem — the same percentage means something different depending on how replaceable that revenue actually is once ownership changes hands.
Why the percentage alone is the wrong question
A business earning a meaningful share of revenue from one customer under a long, exclusive, transferable contract carries a different risk than a business earning the same share from a customer who could switch suppliers with a phone call. Lenders and valuators look past the raw number to how durable and transferable the relationship actually is before deciding how much risk it represents.
What actually gets scrutinized
- How long the relationship has existed and whether it survived a change in pricing or terms before
- Whether the relationship is documented in a written, assignable contract, or rests on personal rapport with the current owner
- Whether the concentration is trending up or down over the years the seller has owned the business
- How much of the business’s overhead and staffing is tied specifically to serving that one customer
How it shows up in price and financing
Concentrated revenue typically compresses the multiple a buyer is willing to pay, because more of the historical earnings is treated as at risk rather than durable, and a lender assessing cash flow for a loan applies the same logic when deciding how much of that revenue to count on. This is a pricing input, not an automatic disqualifier — many good businesses have one large customer and are priced accordingly.
What to do about it as a buyer
Rather than treating concentration as a single number to accept or reject, ask what would actually happen to the business if that customer left — whether the relationship transfers to you personally, whether a transition plan exists, and whether the price already reflects that risk. That answer matters more than the percentage on its own.
Sources
This answer is checked against primary sources. Links were last confirmed on the dates shown.
- 01Canada Revenue AgencyGovernmentSelling a business
- 02Treadstone LawLegal commentaryCustomer Concentration Risk: Why It Can Sink an Ontario Business Sale
- 03Canadian Federation of Independent BusinessResearch dataSuccession Tsunami: Preparing for a decade of small business transitions
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