How can I tell if a machine shop depends on one aerospace customer?
Ask for sales broken down by customer across several periods, then look at the share held by the largest few. Check whether that customer’s work needs approvals or tooling only this shop has, whether orders are firm or forecast, and what would happen if the customer sourced elsewhere.
Begin with the numbers by customer. Ask for sales and for open orders, and look at how the picture changed over time. A shop that is steady with one client may be comfortable, but it is also exposed. Ask your accountant to prepare a simple table so you see the pattern clearly.
Then study the relationship. Ask how the work was won, whether there is a written agreement, how orders are placed and how long the customer has stayed. Find out whether the shop holds approvals or custom tooling that make it hard to replace, or whether the work could move easily to another supplier.
Look at what the customer says. With the seller’s agreement, ask for a conversation about quality, delivery and future needs. A customer who plans to grow with the shop is a different case from one who is quietly looking around. Last, ask what the shop has done to find other work. Quotes, trial parts and new clients show effort. Your lawyer can check whether the agreements allow transfer to a new owner. Do not forget the customer’s own position, such as whether its demand could change, because that shapes your risk as well.
Key takeaways
- Get sales and open orders by customer across several periods.
- Check approvals, tooling and contracts that make the shop hard to replace.
- Ask what the owner has done to win other customers, and whether the main customer agrees to talk.
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Sources
This answer is checked against primary sources. Links were last confirmed on the dates shown.
- 01Business Development Bank of CanadaGovernmentHow to conduct due diligence when buying a business
- 02Business Development Bank of CanadaGovernment7 steps to increase your business’ value—before you sell it
- 03Business Development Bank of CanadaGovernmentUnderstanding post-merger operational integration
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